When you want to
investigate whether extreme weather is more common these days or whether
extreme weather is more extreme than it has been in the past you will need to compare the past with present.
I will be using a
number of articles from journals such as
Nature or Science. The focus of the articles I choose is about understanding (extreme)
weather in the past and how much difference (or not) there is between the past
and present.
There will be attention
for tree- ring dating. Every tree- ring
gives much information about things such as temperature, rainfall or
droughts. When a tree suffers during a very dry summer you will be able to see
it in the tree-rings. At the University of Arizona there is a research centre for tree- ring dating. http://ltrr.arizona.edu/
Other sources are the
national meteorological institutions. Many of these institutions have been
collecting data about climate and weather since the 1800’s. Most of the
institutions have their own research centres and publish their findings. There
are also specialised research institutions, an example is the National Drought
Mitigation Centre at the University of Nebraska, Lincoln http://drought.unl.edu/ this institute makes the US Drought Monitor. Another
specialised institute is the Yale Project on Climate Change Communication. http://environment.yale.edu/climate/ They have made an interesting
study about how many Americans believe that climate change is connected with
extreme weather. The study is called: Extreme weather, climate &
preparedness in the American mind
A completely different
source of information are manuscripts and records of weather in the past.
Romans, Greeks or medieval monks did not have all the resources and knowledge
that we have today but with the tools they had they were able to make good impressions
of the actual weather in their time. When a monk in 1540 writes about the Rhine in Cologne
almost being dry you can be sure that the weather was quite extreme.
Many books about
weather in the past have been written by the Dutch historical geographer Jan
Buis. He writes about the weather during the last 1,000 year in the Netherlands.
For his books he uses manuscripts of that time, which gives it many interesting
insides and details of the period. The title is ‘’DUIZEND JAAR WEER, WIND EN
WATER IN DE LAGE LANDEN’’ which means: One
thousand years of weather, wind and water in the Low Countries. http://duizendjaarweer.nl/duizend-jaar-weer/ At this moment
it’s already six volumes but that number will grow to ten. Every year is
described in great detail.
Another very interesting book is ‘’ An Environmental
History of the Middle Ages. This book is brand new and written by John Aberth. He
also writes about weather in the middle ages but he also pays attention for
what people in the middle ages thought about weather and climate. And it turns
out that the modern day humans are not the first ones who were concerned with
climate change or extreme weather. During the middle ages people were already concerned
about the human impact on the environment.
The last interesting article about old manuscripts is
written by scientists from universities in Portugal and Spain. These scientists
have analysts old manuscripts from the 7th till early 11th century which are
written by Arabic meteorologists. They were actual scientists and that gives an
unique inside into the weather of early medieval times. But even more
surprising is what these early scientists wrote. They were writing about heavy
snowfall and extreme cold in Bagdad. Not exactly the type of weather you would
expect there.
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